QuantMacro V2

Event-Driven Return Probabilities You Can Act On in Seconds

What: CPI / NFP / FOMC probability playbooks by asset.

Why: Backtested on historical event windows with sample size transparency.

How: Pick asset → Read odds → Open execution platform.

Open Playbook Open Strategy Hubs Open Event Hubs Browse All Research

How It Works

Step 1 · Pick Asset

Start with BTC, ETH, GOLD, QQQ, or SPY based on your market focus.

Step 2 · Read Event Probabilities

Use T+1 and T+7 up/down probabilities with sample size and median return.

Step 3 · Execute via Platform

Use the matched broker/exchange link with tracking and consistent UTM tags.

Market Snapshot

3/13/2026, 9:46:11 AM

Session freshness unavailable

Market-close freshness could not be confirmed for one or more US session assets.

Crypto cards can be live or fallback. US session cards reflect the latest validated market close and trading-calendar freshness, not 24/7 live pricing.

BTC

71,865.4

+0.11%

As-of: 2026-03-13 09:00 UTC

Live

Source: live

ETH

2,106.32

+0.31%

As-of: 2026-03-13 09:00 UTC

Live

Source: live

SOL

89.24

+0.13%

As-of: 2026-03-13 09:00 UTC

Live

Source: live

GOLD

5,094

-0.43%

As-of: 2026-03-13 04:00 UTC

Session Unknown

Source: calendar_unknown

SPY

666.06

-1.52%

As-of: 2026-03-12 04:00 UTC

Session Unknown

Source: calendar_unknown

QQQ

597.26

-1.72%

As-of: 2026-03-12 04:00 UTC

Session Unknown

Source: calendar_unknown

DXY

98.53

+0.94%

As-of: 2026-03-04 08:31 UTC

Fallback

Source: fallback

VIX

27.03

-0.95%

As-of: 2026-03-13 04:00 UTC

Session Unknown

Source: calendar_unknown

TNX

4.27

+1.54%

As-of: 2026-03-12 05:00 UTC

Session Unknown

Source: calendar_unknown

Current Event Playbook

Probabilities are generated from historical CPI/NFP/FOMC event windows.

Open Strategy Hubs Open Signal Board

BTC

CPI UP Neutral
Open Analysis
Asset Hub Event Hub

T+1

P(up): 60%

P(down): 40%

Median: 0.46%

T+7

P(up): 53.85%

P(down): 46.15%

Median: 1.11%

Sample size: 40

Event date: 2026-03-11 · As-of: 2026-03-12

Robust score: 6.93 · Raw score: 6.93

Normal confidence

Execution platform for BTC

Open Binance

ETH

CPI UP Neutral
Open Analysis
Asset Hub Event Hub

T+1

P(up): 60%

P(down): 40%

Median: 0.96%

T+7

P(up): 43.59%

P(down): 56.41%

Median: -1.18%

Sample size: 40

Event date: 2026-03-11 · As-of: 2026-03-12

Robust score: -2.2 · Raw score: -2.2

Normal confidence

Execution platform for ETH

Open Binance

GOLD

CPI UP Bullish
Open Analysis
Asset Hub Event Hub

T+1

P(up): 55%

P(down): 45%

Median: 0.32%

T+7

P(up): 78.95%

P(down): 21.05%

Median: 1.4%

Sample size: 40

Event date: 2026-03-11 · As-of: 2026-03-12

Robust score: 17.98 · Raw score: 17.98

Normal confidence

Execution platform for GOLD

Open IBKR Open Futu

QQQ

CPI UP Neutral
Open Analysis
Asset Hub Event Hub

T+1

P(up): 60%

P(down): 40%

Median: 0.19%

T+7

P(up): 55.26%

P(down): 44.74%

Median: 0.58%

Sample size: 40

Event date: 2026-03-11 · As-of: 2026-03-12

Robust score: 7.63 · Raw score: 7.63

Normal confidence

Execution platform for QQQ

Open IBKR Open Futu

SPY

CPI UP Bullish
Open Analysis
Asset Hub Event Hub

T+1

P(up): 62.5%

P(down): 37.5%

Median: 0.14%

T+7

P(up): 68.42%

P(down): 31.58%

Median: 0.51%

Sample size: 40

Event date: 2026-03-11 · As-of: 2026-03-12

Robust score: 14.96 · Raw score: 14.96

Normal confidence

Execution platform for SPY

Open IBKR Open Futu