Event Research Archive
375 pages · use asset hubs and event hubs for focused navigation.
BTC CPI Win Rate (2026-03-11): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability
Historical probability profile for BTC around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
60%
T+7 P(up)
53.85%
ETH CPI Win Rate (2026-03-11): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability
Historical probability profile for ETH around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
60%
T+7 P(up)
43.59%
GOLD CPI Win Rate (2026-03-11): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability
Historical probability profile for GOLD around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
55%
T+7 P(up)
78.95%
QQQ After CPI (2026-03-11): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns
Historical probability profile for QQQ around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
60%
T+7 P(up)
55.26%
US CPI (2026-03-11) and SPY: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for SPY around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
62.5%
T+7 P(up)
68.42%
2026-03-06 Nonfarm Payrolls: BTC Historical Win Rate
Historical probability profile for BTC around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
28.57%
T+7 P(up)
60%
ETH Post-NFP Setup (2026-03-06): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for ETH around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
48.57%
T+7 P(up)
57.14%
2026-03-06 Nonfarm Payrolls: GOLD Historical Win Rate
Historical probability profile for GOLD around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
63.64%
T+7 P(up)
77.14%
QQQ Post-NFP Setup (2026-03-06): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for QQQ around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
59.09%
T+7 P(up)
50%
NFP Print (2026-03-06) vs SPY: Quantified Directional Odds
Historical probability profile for SPY around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
50%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
BTC CPI Win Rate (2026-02-13): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability
Historical probability profile for BTC around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
60%
T+7 P(up)
53.85%
ETH CPI Win Rate (2026-02-13): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability
Historical probability profile for ETH around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
60%
T+7 P(up)
43.59%
US CPI (2026-02-13) and GOLD: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for GOLD around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
55%
T+7 P(up)
78.95%
QQQ After CPI (2026-02-13): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns
Historical probability profile for QQQ around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
60%
T+7 P(up)
55.26%
SPY After CPI (2026-02-13): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns
Historical probability profile for SPY around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
62.5%
T+7 P(up)
68.42%
BTC After CPI (2026-02-12): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns
Historical probability profile for BTC around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
60%
T+7 P(up)
53.85%
ETH CPI Win Rate (2026-02-12): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability
Historical probability profile for ETH around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
60%
T+7 P(up)
43.59%
US CPI (2026-02-12) and GOLD: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for GOLD around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
55%
T+7 P(up)
78.95%
QQQ CPI Win Rate (2026-02-12): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability
Historical probability profile for QQQ around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
60%
T+7 P(up)
55.26%
SPY Reaction to US CPI (2026-02-12): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for SPY around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
62.5%
T+7 P(up)
68.42%
BTC After NFP (2026-02-11): Event Probability and Median Return
Historical probability profile for BTC around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
28.57%
T+7 P(up)
60%
ETH After NFP (2026-02-11): Event Probability and Median Return
Historical probability profile for ETH around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
48.57%
T+7 P(up)
57.14%
GOLD NFP Reaction (2026-02-11): T+1/T+7 Up Probability
Historical probability profile for GOLD around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
63.64%
T+7 P(up)
77.14%
QQQ Post-NFP Setup (2026-02-11): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for QQQ around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
59.09%
T+7 P(up)
50%
2026-02-11 Nonfarm Payrolls: SPY Historical Win Rate
Historical probability profile for SPY around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
50%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
BTC Post-NFP Setup (2026-02-06): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for BTC around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
28.57%
T+7 P(up)
60%
ETH NFP Reaction (2026-02-06): T+1/T+7 Up Probability
Historical probability profile for ETH around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
48.57%
T+7 P(up)
57.14%
GOLD NFP Reaction (2026-02-06): T+1/T+7 Up Probability
Historical probability profile for GOLD around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
63.64%
T+7 P(up)
77.14%
2026-02-06 Nonfarm Payrolls: QQQ Historical Win Rate
Historical probability profile for QQQ around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
59.09%
T+7 P(up)
50%
SPY NFP Reaction (2026-02-06): T+1/T+7 Up Probability
Historical probability profile for SPY around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
50%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
FOMC Outcome (2026-01-28) for BTC: Up/Down Probability View
Historical probability profile for BTC around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
43.48%
Fed Decision (2026-01-28) and ETH: Event-Driven Odds
Historical probability profile for ETH around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
30.43%
GOLD After FOMC (2026-01-28): Historical Signal & Probability
Historical probability profile for GOLD around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
69.57%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
Fed Decision (2026-01-28) and QQQ: Event-Driven Odds
Historical probability profile for QQQ around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
Fed Decision (2026-01-28) and SPY: Event-Driven Odds
Historical probability profile for SPY around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
BTC After CPI (2026-01-13): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns
Historical probability profile for BTC around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
60%
T+7 P(up)
53.85%
2026-01-13 CPI Release: ETH Directional Probability Snapshot
Historical probability profile for ETH around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
60%
T+7 P(up)
43.59%
GOLD CPI Win Rate (2026-01-13): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability
Historical probability profile for GOLD around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
55%
T+7 P(up)
78.95%
2026-01-13 CPI Release: QQQ Directional Probability Snapshot
Historical probability profile for QQQ around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
60%
T+7 P(up)
55.26%
SPY CPI Win Rate (2026-01-13): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability
Historical probability profile for SPY around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
62.5%
T+7 P(up)
68.42%
BTC CPI Win Rate (2026-01-12): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability
Historical probability profile for BTC around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
60%
T+7 P(up)
53.85%
2026-01-12 CPI Release: ETH Directional Probability Snapshot
Historical probability profile for ETH around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
60%
T+7 P(up)
43.59%
GOLD After CPI (2026-01-12): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns
Historical probability profile for GOLD around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
55%
T+7 P(up)
78.95%
QQQ CPI Win Rate (2026-01-12): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability
Historical probability profile for QQQ around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
60%
T+7 P(up)
55.26%
US CPI (2026-01-12) and SPY: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for SPY around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
62.5%
T+7 P(up)
68.42%
2026-01-09 Nonfarm Payrolls: BTC Historical Win Rate
Historical probability profile for BTC around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
28.57%
T+7 P(up)
60%
ETH After NFP (2026-01-09): Event Probability and Median Return
Historical probability profile for ETH around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
48.57%
T+7 P(up)
57.14%
GOLD Post-NFP Setup (2026-01-09): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for GOLD around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
63.64%
T+7 P(up)
77.14%
2026-01-09 Nonfarm Payrolls: QQQ Historical Win Rate
Historical probability profile for QQQ around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
59.09%
T+7 P(up)
50%
2026-01-09 Nonfarm Payrolls: SPY Historical Win Rate
Historical probability profile for SPY around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
50%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
NFP Print (2026-01-02) vs BTC: Quantified Directional Odds
Historical probability profile for BTC around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
29.41%
T+7 P(up)
58.82%
2026-01-02 Nonfarm Payrolls: ETH Historical Win Rate
Historical probability profile for ETH around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
50%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
GOLD NFP Reaction (2026-01-02): T+1/T+7 Up Probability
Historical probability profile for GOLD around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
66.67%
T+7 P(up)
79.41%
QQQ After NFP (2026-01-02): Event Probability and Median Return
Historical probability profile for QQQ around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
57.14%
T+7 P(up)
50%
SPY Post-NFP Setup (2026-01-02): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for SPY around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
47.62%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
BTC After CPI (2025-12-12): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns
Historical probability profile for BTC around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
53.85%
ETH Reaction to US CPI (2025-12-12): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for ETH around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
43.59%
2025-12-12 CPI Release: GOLD Directional Probability Snapshot
Historical probability profile for GOLD around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
56.41%
T+7 P(up)
78.95%
QQQ Reaction to US CPI (2025-12-12): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for QQQ around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
61.54%
T+7 P(up)
55.26%
US CPI (2025-12-12) and SPY: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for SPY around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
64.1%
T+7 P(up)
68.42%
Fed Decision (2025-12-10) and BTC: Event-Driven Odds
Historical probability profile for BTC around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
43.48%
2025-12-10 FOMC Meeting: ETH T+1/T+7 Probability Profile
Historical probability profile for ETH around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
30.43%
2025-12-10 FOMC Meeting: GOLD T+1/T+7 Probability Profile
Historical probability profile for GOLD around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
69.57%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
QQQ Post-FOMC Reaction (2025-12-10): Quant Backtest Snapshot
Historical probability profile for QQQ around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
Fed Decision (2025-12-10) and SPY: Event-Driven Odds
Historical probability profile for SPY around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
BTC Post-NFP Setup (2025-12-05): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for BTC around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
29.41%
T+7 P(up)
58.82%
ETH Post-NFP Setup (2025-12-05): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for ETH around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
50%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
GOLD Post-NFP Setup (2025-12-05): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for GOLD around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
66.67%
T+7 P(up)
79.41%
2025-12-05 Nonfarm Payrolls: QQQ Historical Win Rate
Historical probability profile for QQQ around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
57.14%
T+7 P(up)
50%
SPY After NFP (2025-12-05): Event Probability and Median Return
Historical probability profile for SPY around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
47.62%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
BTC Reaction to US CPI (2025-11-12): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for BTC around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
53.85%
ETH CPI Win Rate (2025-11-12): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability
Historical probability profile for ETH around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
43.59%
GOLD Reaction to US CPI (2025-11-12): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for GOLD around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
56.41%
T+7 P(up)
78.95%
2025-11-12 CPI Release: QQQ Directional Probability Snapshot
Historical probability profile for QQQ around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
61.54%
T+7 P(up)
55.26%
SPY CPI Win Rate (2025-11-12): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability
Historical probability profile for SPY around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
64.1%
T+7 P(up)
68.42%
BTC Post-NFP Setup (2025-11-07): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for BTC around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
29.41%
T+7 P(up)
58.82%
NFP Print (2025-11-07) vs ETH: Quantified Directional Odds
Historical probability profile for ETH around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
50%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
GOLD Post-NFP Setup (2025-11-07): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for GOLD around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
66.67%
T+7 P(up)
79.41%
QQQ Post-NFP Setup (2025-11-07): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for QQQ around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
57.14%
T+7 P(up)
50%
SPY NFP Reaction (2025-11-07): T+1/T+7 Up Probability
Historical probability profile for SPY around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
47.62%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
Fed Decision (2025-10-29) and BTC: Event-Driven Odds
Historical probability profile for BTC around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
43.48%
ETH After FOMC (2025-10-29): Historical Signal & Probability
Historical probability profile for ETH around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
30.43%
2025-10-29 FOMC Meeting: GOLD T+1/T+7 Probability Profile
Historical probability profile for GOLD around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
69.57%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
2025-10-29 FOMC Meeting: QQQ T+1/T+7 Probability Profile
Historical probability profile for QQQ around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
SPY After FOMC (2025-10-29): Historical Signal & Probability
Historical probability profile for SPY around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
BTC Reaction to US CPI (2025-10-12): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for BTC around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
53.85%
ETH Reaction to US CPI (2025-10-12): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for ETH around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
43.59%
GOLD After CPI (2025-10-12): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns
Historical probability profile for GOLD around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
56.41%
T+7 P(up)
78.95%
QQQ After CPI (2025-10-12): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns
Historical probability profile for QQQ around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
61.54%
T+7 P(up)
55.26%
SPY Reaction to US CPI (2025-10-12): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for SPY around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
64.1%
T+7 P(up)
68.42%
2025-10-03 Nonfarm Payrolls: BTC Historical Win Rate
Historical probability profile for BTC around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
29.41%
T+7 P(up)
58.82%
ETH NFP Reaction (2025-10-03): T+1/T+7 Up Probability
Historical probability profile for ETH around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
50%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
GOLD Post-NFP Setup (2025-10-03): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for GOLD around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
66.67%
T+7 P(up)
79.41%
QQQ After NFP (2025-10-03): Event Probability and Median Return
Historical probability profile for QQQ around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
57.14%
T+7 P(up)
50%
NFP Print (2025-10-03) vs SPY: Quantified Directional Odds
Historical probability profile for SPY around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
47.62%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
Fed Decision (2025-09-17) and BTC: Event-Driven Odds
Historical probability profile for BTC around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
43.48%
2025-09-17 FOMC Meeting: ETH T+1/T+7 Probability Profile
Historical probability profile for ETH around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
30.43%
2025-09-17 FOMC Meeting: GOLD T+1/T+7 Probability Profile
Historical probability profile for GOLD around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
69.57%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
QQQ After FOMC (2025-09-17): Historical Signal & Probability
Historical probability profile for QQQ around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
Fed Decision (2025-09-17) and SPY: Event-Driven Odds
Historical probability profile for SPY around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
BTC After CPI (2025-09-12): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns
Historical probability profile for BTC around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
53.85%
2025-09-12 CPI Release: ETH Directional Probability Snapshot
Historical probability profile for ETH around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
43.59%
GOLD Reaction to US CPI (2025-09-12): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for GOLD around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
56.41%
T+7 P(up)
78.95%
QQQ Reaction to US CPI (2025-09-12): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for QQQ around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
61.54%
T+7 P(up)
55.26%
US CPI (2025-09-12) and SPY: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for SPY around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
64.1%
T+7 P(up)
68.42%
BTC NFP Reaction (2025-09-05): T+1/T+7 Up Probability
Historical probability profile for BTC around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
29.41%
T+7 P(up)
58.82%
ETH After NFP (2025-09-05): Event Probability and Median Return
Historical probability profile for ETH around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
50%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
GOLD NFP Reaction (2025-09-05): T+1/T+7 Up Probability
Historical probability profile for GOLD around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
66.67%
T+7 P(up)
79.41%
QQQ Post-NFP Setup (2025-09-05): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for QQQ around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
57.14%
T+7 P(up)
50%
SPY Post-NFP Setup (2025-09-05): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for SPY around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
47.62%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
2025-08-12 CPI Release: BTC Directional Probability Snapshot
Historical probability profile for BTC around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
53.85%
ETH Reaction to US CPI (2025-08-12): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for ETH around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
43.59%
GOLD After CPI (2025-08-12): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns
Historical probability profile for GOLD around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
56.41%
T+7 P(up)
78.95%
QQQ Reaction to US CPI (2025-08-12): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for QQQ around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
61.54%
T+7 P(up)
55.26%
SPY After CPI (2025-08-12): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns
Historical probability profile for SPY around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
64.1%
T+7 P(up)
68.42%
BTC Post-NFP Setup (2025-08-01): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for BTC around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
29.41%
T+7 P(up)
58.82%
ETH Post-NFP Setup (2025-08-01): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for ETH around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
50%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
2025-08-01 Nonfarm Payrolls: GOLD Historical Win Rate
Historical probability profile for GOLD around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
66.67%
T+7 P(up)
79.41%
QQQ Post-NFP Setup (2025-08-01): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for QQQ around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
57.14%
T+7 P(up)
50%
NFP Print (2025-08-01) vs SPY: Quantified Directional Odds
Historical probability profile for SPY around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
47.62%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
Fed Decision (2025-07-30) and BTC: Event-Driven Odds
Historical probability profile for BTC around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
43.48%
ETH Post-FOMC Reaction (2025-07-30): Quant Backtest Snapshot
Historical probability profile for ETH around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
30.43%
GOLD After FOMC (2025-07-30): Historical Signal & Probability
Historical probability profile for GOLD around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
69.57%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
QQQ After FOMC (2025-07-30): Historical Signal & Probability
Historical probability profile for QQQ around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
FOMC Outcome (2025-07-30) for SPY: Up/Down Probability View
Historical probability profile for SPY around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
BTC CPI Win Rate (2025-07-12): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability
Historical probability profile for BTC around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
53.85%
US CPI (2025-07-12) and ETH: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for ETH around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
43.59%
2025-07-12 CPI Release: GOLD Directional Probability Snapshot
Historical probability profile for GOLD around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
56.41%
T+7 P(up)
78.95%
QQQ Reaction to US CPI (2025-07-12): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for QQQ around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
61.54%
T+7 P(up)
55.26%
SPY Reaction to US CPI (2025-07-12): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for SPY around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
64.1%
T+7 P(up)
68.42%
BTC After NFP (2025-07-04): Event Probability and Median Return
Historical probability profile for BTC around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
29.41%
T+7 P(up)
58.82%
ETH NFP Reaction (2025-07-04): T+1/T+7 Up Probability
Historical probability profile for ETH around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
50%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
GOLD Post-NFP Setup (2025-07-04): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for GOLD around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
66.67%
T+7 P(up)
79.41%
2025-07-04 Nonfarm Payrolls: QQQ Historical Win Rate
Historical probability profile for QQQ around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
57.14%
T+7 P(up)
50%
NFP Print (2025-07-04) vs SPY: Quantified Directional Odds
Historical probability profile for SPY around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
47.62%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
BTC Post-FOMC Reaction (2025-06-18): Quant Backtest Snapshot
Historical probability profile for BTC around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
43.48%
ETH Post-FOMC Reaction (2025-06-18): Quant Backtest Snapshot
Historical probability profile for ETH around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
30.43%
Fed Decision (2025-06-18) and GOLD: Event-Driven Odds
Historical probability profile for GOLD around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
69.57%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
FOMC Outcome (2025-06-18) for QQQ: Up/Down Probability View
Historical probability profile for QQQ around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
FOMC Outcome (2025-06-18) for SPY: Up/Down Probability View
Historical probability profile for SPY around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
BTC After CPI (2025-06-12): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns
Historical probability profile for BTC around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
53.85%
ETH Reaction to US CPI (2025-06-12): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for ETH around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
43.59%
GOLD CPI Win Rate (2025-06-12): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability
Historical probability profile for GOLD around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
56.41%
T+7 P(up)
78.95%
QQQ CPI Win Rate (2025-06-12): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability
Historical probability profile for QQQ around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
61.54%
T+7 P(up)
55.26%
US CPI (2025-06-12) and SPY: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for SPY around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
64.1%
T+7 P(up)
68.42%
BTC After NFP (2025-06-06): Event Probability and Median Return
Historical probability profile for BTC around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
29.41%
T+7 P(up)
58.82%
NFP Print (2025-06-06) vs ETH: Quantified Directional Odds
Historical probability profile for ETH around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
50%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
GOLD After NFP (2025-06-06): Event Probability and Median Return
Historical probability profile for GOLD around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
66.67%
T+7 P(up)
79.41%
2025-06-06 Nonfarm Payrolls: QQQ Historical Win Rate
Historical probability profile for QQQ around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
57.14%
T+7 P(up)
50%
NFP Print (2025-06-06) vs SPY: Quantified Directional Odds
Historical probability profile for SPY around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
47.62%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
2025-05-12 CPI Release: BTC Directional Probability Snapshot
Historical probability profile for BTC around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
53.85%
US CPI (2025-05-12) and ETH: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for ETH around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
43.59%
GOLD Reaction to US CPI (2025-05-12): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for GOLD around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
56.41%
T+7 P(up)
78.95%
QQQ After CPI (2025-05-12): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns
Historical probability profile for QQQ around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
61.54%
T+7 P(up)
55.26%
SPY After CPI (2025-05-12): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns
Historical probability profile for SPY around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
64.1%
T+7 P(up)
68.42%
Fed Decision (2025-05-07) and BTC: Event-Driven Odds
Historical probability profile for BTC around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
43.48%
ETH After FOMC (2025-05-07): Historical Signal & Probability
Historical probability profile for ETH around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
30.43%
2025-05-07 FOMC Meeting: GOLD T+1/T+7 Probability Profile
Historical probability profile for GOLD around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
69.57%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
2025-05-07 FOMC Meeting: QQQ T+1/T+7 Probability Profile
Historical probability profile for QQQ around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
Fed Decision (2025-05-07) and SPY: Event-Driven Odds
Historical probability profile for SPY around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
BTC NFP Reaction (2025-05-02): T+1/T+7 Up Probability
Historical probability profile for BTC around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
29.41%
T+7 P(up)
58.82%
ETH NFP Reaction (2025-05-02): T+1/T+7 Up Probability
Historical probability profile for ETH around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
50%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
GOLD After NFP (2025-05-02): Event Probability and Median Return
Historical probability profile for GOLD around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
66.67%
T+7 P(up)
79.41%
NFP Print (2025-05-02) vs QQQ: Quantified Directional Odds
Historical probability profile for QQQ around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
57.14%
T+7 P(up)
50%
SPY NFP Reaction (2025-05-02): T+1/T+7 Up Probability
Historical probability profile for SPY around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
47.62%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
BTC CPI Win Rate (2025-04-12): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability
Historical probability profile for BTC around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
53.85%
ETH After CPI (2025-04-12): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns
Historical probability profile for ETH around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
43.59%
2025-04-12 CPI Release: GOLD Directional Probability Snapshot
Historical probability profile for GOLD around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
56.41%
T+7 P(up)
78.95%
2025-04-12 CPI Release: QQQ Directional Probability Snapshot
Historical probability profile for QQQ around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
61.54%
T+7 P(up)
55.26%
2025-04-12 CPI Release: SPY Directional Probability Snapshot
Historical probability profile for SPY around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
64.1%
T+7 P(up)
68.42%
BTC Post-NFP Setup (2025-04-04): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for BTC around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
29.41%
T+7 P(up)
58.82%
ETH NFP Reaction (2025-04-04): T+1/T+7 Up Probability
Historical probability profile for ETH around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
50%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
GOLD Post-NFP Setup (2025-04-04): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for GOLD around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
66.67%
T+7 P(up)
79.41%
QQQ Post-NFP Setup (2025-04-04): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for QQQ around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
57.14%
T+7 P(up)
50%
SPY NFP Reaction (2025-04-04): T+1/T+7 Up Probability
Historical probability profile for SPY around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
47.62%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
2025-03-19 FOMC Meeting: BTC T+1/T+7 Probability Profile
Historical probability profile for BTC around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
43.48%
FOMC Outcome (2025-03-19) for ETH: Up/Down Probability View
Historical probability profile for ETH around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
30.43%
Fed Decision (2025-03-19) and GOLD: Event-Driven Odds
Historical probability profile for GOLD around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
69.57%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
FOMC Outcome (2025-03-19) for QQQ: Up/Down Probability View
Historical probability profile for QQQ around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
Fed Decision (2025-03-19) and SPY: Event-Driven Odds
Historical probability profile for SPY around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
BTC CPI Win Rate (2025-03-12): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability
Historical probability profile for BTC around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
53.85%
US CPI (2025-03-12) and ETH: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for ETH around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
43.59%
GOLD Reaction to US CPI (2025-03-12): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for GOLD around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
56.41%
T+7 P(up)
78.95%
QQQ Reaction to US CPI (2025-03-12): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for QQQ around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
61.54%
T+7 P(up)
55.26%
SPY CPI Win Rate (2025-03-12): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability
Historical probability profile for SPY around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
64.1%
T+7 P(up)
68.42%
2025-03-07 Nonfarm Payrolls: BTC Historical Win Rate
Historical probability profile for BTC around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
29.41%
T+7 P(up)
58.82%
2025-03-07 Nonfarm Payrolls: ETH Historical Win Rate
Historical probability profile for ETH around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
50%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
NFP Print (2025-03-07) vs GOLD: Quantified Directional Odds
Historical probability profile for GOLD around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
66.67%
T+7 P(up)
79.41%
QQQ Post-NFP Setup (2025-03-07): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for QQQ around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
57.14%
T+7 P(up)
50%
NFP Print (2025-03-07) vs SPY: Quantified Directional Odds
Historical probability profile for SPY around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
47.62%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
US CPI (2025-02-12) and BTC: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for BTC around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
53.85%
US CPI (2025-02-12) and ETH: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for ETH around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
43.59%
US CPI (2025-02-12) and GOLD: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for GOLD around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
56.41%
T+7 P(up)
78.95%
2025-02-12 CPI Release: QQQ Directional Probability Snapshot
Historical probability profile for QQQ around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
61.54%
T+7 P(up)
55.26%
SPY Reaction to US CPI (2025-02-12): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for SPY around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
64.1%
T+7 P(up)
68.42%
NFP Print (2025-02-07) vs BTC: Quantified Directional Odds
Historical probability profile for BTC around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
29.41%
T+7 P(up)
58.82%
ETH Post-NFP Setup (2025-02-07): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for ETH around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
50%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
2025-02-07 Nonfarm Payrolls: GOLD Historical Win Rate
Historical probability profile for GOLD around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
66.67%
T+7 P(up)
79.41%
QQQ Post-NFP Setup (2025-02-07): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for QQQ around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
57.14%
T+7 P(up)
50%
SPY Post-NFP Setup (2025-02-07): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for SPY around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
47.62%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
BTC Post-FOMC Reaction (2025-01-29): Quant Backtest Snapshot
Historical probability profile for BTC around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
43.48%
Fed Decision (2025-01-29) and ETH: Event-Driven Odds
Historical probability profile for ETH around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
30.43%
GOLD Post-FOMC Reaction (2025-01-29): Quant Backtest Snapshot
Historical probability profile for GOLD around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
69.57%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
FOMC Outcome (2025-01-29) for QQQ: Up/Down Probability View
Historical probability profile for QQQ around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
Fed Decision (2025-01-29) and SPY: Event-Driven Odds
Historical probability profile for SPY around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
BTC After CPI (2025-01-15): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns
Historical probability profile for BTC around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
53.85%
ETH Reaction to US CPI (2025-01-15): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for ETH around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
43.59%
GOLD Reaction to US CPI (2025-01-15): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for GOLD around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
56.41%
T+7 P(up)
78.95%
US CPI (2025-01-15) and QQQ: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for QQQ around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
61.54%
T+7 P(up)
55.26%
SPY CPI Win Rate (2025-01-15): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability
Historical probability profile for SPY around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
64.1%
T+7 P(up)
68.42%
BTC After NFP (2025-01-10): Event Probability and Median Return
Historical probability profile for BTC around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
29.41%
T+7 P(up)
58.82%
ETH Post-NFP Setup (2025-01-10): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for ETH around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
50%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
GOLD Post-NFP Setup (2025-01-10): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for GOLD around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
66.67%
T+7 P(up)
79.41%
2025-01-10 Nonfarm Payrolls: QQQ Historical Win Rate
Historical probability profile for QQQ around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
57.14%
T+7 P(up)
50%
NFP Print (2025-01-10) vs SPY: Quantified Directional Odds
Historical probability profile for SPY around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
47.62%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
2024-12-17 FOMC Meeting: BTC T+1/T+7 Probability Profile
Historical probability profile for BTC around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
43.48%
ETH Post-FOMC Reaction (2024-12-17): Quant Backtest Snapshot
Historical probability profile for ETH around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
30.43%
2024-12-17 FOMC Meeting: GOLD T+1/T+7 Probability Profile
Historical probability profile for GOLD around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
69.57%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
2024-12-17 FOMC Meeting: QQQ T+1/T+7 Probability Profile
Historical probability profile for QQQ around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
Fed Decision (2024-12-17) and SPY: Event-Driven Odds
Historical probability profile for SPY around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
BTC CPI Win Rate (2024-12-11): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability
Historical probability profile for BTC around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
53.85%
US CPI (2024-12-11) and ETH: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for ETH around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
43.59%
2024-12-11 CPI Release: GOLD Directional Probability Snapshot
Historical probability profile for GOLD around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
56.41%
T+7 P(up)
78.95%
QQQ After CPI (2024-12-11): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns
Historical probability profile for QQQ around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
61.54%
T+7 P(up)
55.26%
US CPI (2024-12-11) and SPY: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for SPY around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
64.1%
T+7 P(up)
68.42%
BTC NFP Reaction (2024-12-06): T+1/T+7 Up Probability
Historical probability profile for BTC around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
29.41%
T+7 P(up)
58.82%
ETH After NFP (2024-12-06): Event Probability and Median Return
Historical probability profile for ETH around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
50%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
2024-12-06 Nonfarm Payrolls: GOLD Historical Win Rate
Historical probability profile for GOLD around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
66.67%
T+7 P(up)
79.41%
QQQ After NFP (2024-12-06): Event Probability and Median Return
Historical probability profile for QQQ around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
57.14%
T+7 P(up)
50%
2024-12-06 Nonfarm Payrolls: SPY Historical Win Rate
Historical probability profile for SPY around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
47.62%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
US CPI (2024-11-14) and BTC: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for BTC around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
53.85%
ETH CPI Win Rate (2024-11-14): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability
Historical probability profile for ETH around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
43.59%
GOLD Reaction to US CPI (2024-11-14): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for GOLD around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
56.41%
T+7 P(up)
78.95%
QQQ After CPI (2024-11-14): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns
Historical probability profile for QQQ around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
61.54%
T+7 P(up)
55.26%
2024-11-14 CPI Release: SPY Directional Probability Snapshot
Historical probability profile for SPY around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
64.1%
T+7 P(up)
68.42%
2024-11-06 FOMC Meeting: BTC T+1/T+7 Probability Profile
Historical probability profile for BTC around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
43.48%
2024-11-06 FOMC Meeting: ETH T+1/T+7 Probability Profile
Historical probability profile for ETH around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
30.43%
GOLD After FOMC (2024-11-06): Historical Signal & Probability
Historical probability profile for GOLD around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
69.57%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
QQQ Post-FOMC Reaction (2024-11-06): Quant Backtest Snapshot
Historical probability profile for QQQ around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
FOMC Outcome (2024-11-06) for SPY: Up/Down Probability View
Historical probability profile for SPY around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
BTC After NFP (2024-11-01): Event Probability and Median Return
Historical probability profile for BTC around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
29.41%
T+7 P(up)
58.82%
2024-11-01 Nonfarm Payrolls: ETH Historical Win Rate
Historical probability profile for ETH around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
50%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
GOLD After NFP (2024-11-01): Event Probability and Median Return
Historical probability profile for GOLD around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
66.67%
T+7 P(up)
79.41%
NFP Print (2024-11-01) vs QQQ: Quantified Directional Odds
Historical probability profile for QQQ around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
57.14%
T+7 P(up)
50%
SPY After NFP (2024-11-01): Event Probability and Median Return
Historical probability profile for SPY around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
47.62%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
US CPI (2024-10-10) and BTC: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for BTC around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
53.85%
US CPI (2024-10-10) and ETH: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for ETH around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
43.59%
GOLD Reaction to US CPI (2024-10-10): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for GOLD around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
56.41%
T+7 P(up)
78.95%
US CPI (2024-10-10) and QQQ: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for QQQ around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
61.54%
T+7 P(up)
55.26%
US CPI (2024-10-10) and SPY: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for SPY around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
64.1%
T+7 P(up)
68.42%
BTC NFP Reaction (2024-10-04): T+1/T+7 Up Probability
Historical probability profile for BTC around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
29.41%
T+7 P(up)
58.82%
ETH Post-NFP Setup (2024-10-04): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for ETH around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
50%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
GOLD Post-NFP Setup (2024-10-04): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for GOLD around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
66.67%
T+7 P(up)
79.41%
QQQ Post-NFP Setup (2024-10-04): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for QQQ around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
57.14%
T+7 P(up)
50%
SPY NFP Reaction (2024-10-04): T+1/T+7 Up Probability
Historical probability profile for SPY around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
47.62%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
Fed Decision (2024-09-17) and BTC: Event-Driven Odds
Historical probability profile for BTC around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
43.48%
2024-09-17 FOMC Meeting: ETH T+1/T+7 Probability Profile
Historical probability profile for ETH around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
30.43%
Fed Decision (2024-09-17) and GOLD: Event-Driven Odds
Historical probability profile for GOLD around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
69.57%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
2024-09-17 FOMC Meeting: QQQ T+1/T+7 Probability Profile
Historical probability profile for QQQ around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
2024-09-17 FOMC Meeting: SPY T+1/T+7 Probability Profile
Historical probability profile for SPY around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
BTC After CPI (2024-09-11): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns
Historical probability profile for BTC around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
53.85%
ETH Reaction to US CPI (2024-09-11): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for ETH around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
43.59%
GOLD CPI Win Rate (2024-09-11): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability
Historical probability profile for GOLD around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
56.41%
T+7 P(up)
78.95%
US CPI (2024-09-11) and QQQ: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for QQQ around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
61.54%
T+7 P(up)
55.26%
US CPI (2024-09-11) and SPY: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for SPY around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
64.1%
T+7 P(up)
68.42%
BTC Post-NFP Setup (2024-09-06): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for BTC around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
29.41%
T+7 P(up)
58.82%
ETH Post-NFP Setup (2024-09-06): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for ETH around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
50%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
GOLD Post-NFP Setup (2024-09-06): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for GOLD around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
66.67%
T+7 P(up)
79.41%
NFP Print (2024-09-06) vs QQQ: Quantified Directional Odds
Historical probability profile for QQQ around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
57.14%
T+7 P(up)
50%
NFP Print (2024-09-06) vs SPY: Quantified Directional Odds
Historical probability profile for SPY around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
47.62%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
BTC Reaction to US CPI (2024-08-14): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for BTC around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
53.85%
2024-08-14 CPI Release: ETH Directional Probability Snapshot
Historical probability profile for ETH around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
43.59%
US CPI (2024-08-14) and GOLD: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for GOLD around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
56.41%
T+7 P(up)
78.95%
QQQ Reaction to US CPI (2024-08-14): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for QQQ around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
61.54%
T+7 P(up)
55.26%
US CPI (2024-08-14) and SPY: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for SPY around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
64.1%
T+7 P(up)
68.42%
2024-08-02 Nonfarm Payrolls: BTC Historical Win Rate
Historical probability profile for BTC around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
29.41%
T+7 P(up)
58.82%
ETH NFP Reaction (2024-08-02): T+1/T+7 Up Probability
Historical probability profile for ETH around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
50%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
GOLD After NFP (2024-08-02): Event Probability and Median Return
Historical probability profile for GOLD around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
66.67%
T+7 P(up)
79.41%
QQQ After NFP (2024-08-02): Event Probability and Median Return
Historical probability profile for QQQ around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
57.14%
T+7 P(up)
50%
NFP Print (2024-08-02) vs SPY: Quantified Directional Odds
Historical probability profile for SPY around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
47.62%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
Fed Decision (2024-07-30) and BTC: Event-Driven Odds
Historical probability profile for BTC around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
43.48%
ETH After FOMC (2024-07-30): Historical Signal & Probability
Historical probability profile for ETH around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
30.43%
GOLD After FOMC (2024-07-30): Historical Signal & Probability
Historical probability profile for GOLD around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
69.57%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
QQQ After FOMC (2024-07-30): Historical Signal & Probability
Historical probability profile for QQQ around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
SPY After FOMC (2024-07-30): Historical Signal & Probability
Historical probability profile for SPY around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
BTC CPI Win Rate (2024-07-11): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability
Historical probability profile for BTC around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
53.85%
ETH Reaction to US CPI (2024-07-11): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for ETH around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
43.59%
GOLD Reaction to US CPI (2024-07-11): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for GOLD around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
56.41%
T+7 P(up)
78.95%
QQQ CPI Win Rate (2024-07-11): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability
Historical probability profile for QQQ around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
61.54%
T+7 P(up)
55.26%
SPY Reaction to US CPI (2024-07-11): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for SPY around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
64.1%
T+7 P(up)
68.42%
BTC NFP Reaction (2024-07-05): T+1/T+7 Up Probability
Historical probability profile for BTC around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
29.41%
T+7 P(up)
58.82%
ETH Post-NFP Setup (2024-07-05): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for ETH around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
50%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
GOLD Post-NFP Setup (2024-07-05): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for GOLD around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
66.67%
T+7 P(up)
79.41%
2024-07-05 Nonfarm Payrolls: QQQ Historical Win Rate
Historical probability profile for QQQ around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
57.14%
T+7 P(up)
50%
2024-07-05 Nonfarm Payrolls: SPY Historical Win Rate
Historical probability profile for SPY around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
47.62%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
BTC Reaction to US CPI (2024-06-12): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for BTC around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
53.85%
ETH Reaction to US CPI (2024-06-12): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for ETH around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
43.59%
US CPI (2024-06-12) and GOLD: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for GOLD around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
56.41%
T+7 P(up)
78.95%
US CPI (2024-06-12) and QQQ: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for QQQ around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
61.54%
T+7 P(up)
55.26%
US CPI (2024-06-12) and SPY: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for SPY around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
64.1%
T+7 P(up)
68.42%
FOMC Outcome (2024-06-11) for BTC: Up/Down Probability View
Historical probability profile for BTC around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
43.48%
ETH After FOMC (2024-06-11): Historical Signal & Probability
Historical probability profile for ETH around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
30.43%
2024-06-11 FOMC Meeting: GOLD T+1/T+7 Probability Profile
Historical probability profile for GOLD around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
69.57%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
Fed Decision (2024-06-11) and QQQ: Event-Driven Odds
Historical probability profile for QQQ around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
FOMC Outcome (2024-06-11) for SPY: Up/Down Probability View
Historical probability profile for SPY around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
2024-06-07 Nonfarm Payrolls: BTC Historical Win Rate
Historical probability profile for BTC around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
29.41%
T+7 P(up)
58.82%
ETH After NFP (2024-06-07): Event Probability and Median Return
Historical probability profile for ETH around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
50%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
GOLD NFP Reaction (2024-06-07): T+1/T+7 Up Probability
Historical probability profile for GOLD around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
66.67%
T+7 P(up)
79.41%
2024-06-07 Nonfarm Payrolls: QQQ Historical Win Rate
Historical probability profile for QQQ around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
57.14%
T+7 P(up)
50%
NFP Print (2024-06-07) vs SPY: Quantified Directional Odds
Historical probability profile for SPY around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
47.62%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
BTC Reaction to US CPI (2024-05-15): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for BTC around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
53.85%
2024-05-15 CPI Release: ETH Directional Probability Snapshot
Historical probability profile for ETH around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
43.59%
US CPI (2024-05-15) and GOLD: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for GOLD around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
56.41%
T+7 P(up)
78.95%
2024-05-15 CPI Release: QQQ Directional Probability Snapshot
Historical probability profile for QQQ around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
61.54%
T+7 P(up)
55.26%
2024-05-15 CPI Release: SPY Directional Probability Snapshot
Historical probability profile for SPY around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
64.1%
T+7 P(up)
68.42%
2024-05-03 Nonfarm Payrolls: BTC Historical Win Rate
Historical probability profile for BTC around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
29.41%
T+7 P(up)
58.82%
ETH NFP Reaction (2024-05-03): T+1/T+7 Up Probability
Historical probability profile for ETH around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
50%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
GOLD After NFP (2024-05-03): Event Probability and Median Return
Historical probability profile for GOLD around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
66.67%
T+7 P(up)
79.41%
QQQ After NFP (2024-05-03): Event Probability and Median Return
Historical probability profile for QQQ around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
57.14%
T+7 P(up)
50%
2024-05-03 Nonfarm Payrolls: SPY Historical Win Rate
Historical probability profile for SPY around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
47.62%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
BTC After FOMC (2024-04-30): Historical Signal & Probability
Historical probability profile for BTC around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
43.48%
2024-04-30 FOMC Meeting: ETH T+1/T+7 Probability Profile
Historical probability profile for ETH around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
30.43%
GOLD After FOMC (2024-04-30): Historical Signal & Probability
Historical probability profile for GOLD around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
69.57%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
FOMC Outcome (2024-04-30) for QQQ: Up/Down Probability View
Historical probability profile for QQQ around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
FOMC Outcome (2024-04-30) for SPY: Up/Down Probability View
Historical probability profile for SPY around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
BTC After CPI (2024-04-10): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns
Historical probability profile for BTC around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
53.85%
US CPI (2024-04-10) and ETH: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for ETH around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
43.59%
GOLD After CPI (2024-04-10): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns
Historical probability profile for GOLD around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
56.41%
T+7 P(up)
78.95%
2024-04-10 CPI Release: QQQ Directional Probability Snapshot
Historical probability profile for QQQ around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
61.54%
T+7 P(up)
55.26%
SPY After CPI (2024-04-10): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns
Historical probability profile for SPY around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
64.1%
T+7 P(up)
68.42%
NFP Print (2024-04-05) vs BTC: Quantified Directional Odds
Historical probability profile for BTC around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
29.41%
T+7 P(up)
58.82%
ETH Post-NFP Setup (2024-04-05): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for ETH around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
50%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
NFP Print (2024-04-05) vs GOLD: Quantified Directional Odds
Historical probability profile for GOLD around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
66.67%
T+7 P(up)
79.41%
2024-04-05 Nonfarm Payrolls: QQQ Historical Win Rate
Historical probability profile for QQQ around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
57.14%
T+7 P(up)
50%
NFP Print (2024-04-05) vs SPY: Quantified Directional Odds
Historical probability profile for SPY around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
47.62%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
BTC Post-FOMC Reaction (2024-03-19): Quant Backtest Snapshot
Historical probability profile for BTC around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
43.48%
ETH Post-FOMC Reaction (2024-03-19): Quant Backtest Snapshot
Historical probability profile for ETH around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
30.43%
Fed Decision (2024-03-19) and GOLD: Event-Driven Odds
Historical probability profile for GOLD around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
69.57%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
Fed Decision (2024-03-19) and QQQ: Event-Driven Odds
Historical probability profile for QQQ around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
SPY After FOMC (2024-03-19): Historical Signal & Probability
Historical probability profile for SPY around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
BTC CPI Win Rate (2024-03-12): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability
Historical probability profile for BTC around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
53.85%
ETH After CPI (2024-03-12): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns
Historical probability profile for ETH around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
43.59%
2024-03-12 CPI Release: GOLD Directional Probability Snapshot
Historical probability profile for GOLD around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
56.41%
T+7 P(up)
78.95%
2024-03-12 CPI Release: QQQ Directional Probability Snapshot
Historical probability profile for QQQ around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
61.54%
T+7 P(up)
55.26%
SPY CPI Win Rate (2024-03-12): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability
Historical probability profile for SPY around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
64.1%
T+7 P(up)
68.42%
BTC NFP Reaction (2024-03-01): T+1/T+7 Up Probability
Historical probability profile for BTC around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
29.41%
T+7 P(up)
58.82%
NFP Print (2024-03-01) vs ETH: Quantified Directional Odds
Historical probability profile for ETH around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
50%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
GOLD NFP Reaction (2024-03-01): T+1/T+7 Up Probability
Historical probability profile for GOLD around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
66.67%
T+7 P(up)
79.41%
QQQ After NFP (2024-03-01): Event Probability and Median Return
Historical probability profile for QQQ around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
57.14%
T+7 P(up)
50%
2024-03-01 Nonfarm Payrolls: SPY Historical Win Rate
Historical probability profile for SPY around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
47.62%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
2024-02-20 CPI Release: BTC Directional Probability Snapshot
Historical probability profile for BTC around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
53.85%
ETH Reaction to US CPI (2024-02-20): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for ETH around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
43.59%
US CPI (2024-02-20) and GOLD: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for GOLD around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
56.41%
T+7 P(up)
78.95%
US CPI (2024-02-20) and QQQ: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for QQQ around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
61.54%
T+7 P(up)
55.26%
2024-02-20 CPI Release: SPY Directional Probability Snapshot
Historical probability profile for SPY around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
64.1%
T+7 P(up)
68.42%
BTC Post-NFP Setup (2024-02-02): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for BTC around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
29.41%
T+7 P(up)
58.82%
2024-02-02 Nonfarm Payrolls: ETH Historical Win Rate
Historical probability profile for ETH around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
50%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
GOLD After NFP (2024-02-02): Event Probability and Median Return
Historical probability profile for GOLD around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
66.67%
T+7 P(up)
79.41%
NFP Print (2024-02-02) vs QQQ: Quantified Directional Odds
Historical probability profile for QQQ around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
57.14%
T+7 P(up)
50%
SPY NFP Reaction (2024-02-02): T+1/T+7 Up Probability
Historical probability profile for SPY around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
47.62%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
BTC Post-FOMC Reaction (2024-01-30): Quant Backtest Snapshot
Historical probability profile for BTC around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
43.48%
ETH Post-FOMC Reaction (2024-01-30): Quant Backtest Snapshot
Historical probability profile for ETH around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
30.43%
2024-01-30 FOMC Meeting: GOLD T+1/T+7 Probability Profile
Historical probability profile for GOLD around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
69.57%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
Fed Decision (2024-01-30) and QQQ: Event-Driven Odds
Historical probability profile for QQQ around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
43.48%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
Fed Decision (2024-01-30) and SPY: Event-Driven Odds
Historical probability profile for SPY around FOMC events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
52.17%
T+7 P(up)
56.52%
BTC CPI Win Rate (2024-01-15): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability
Historical probability profile for BTC around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
53.85%
US CPI (2024-01-15) and ETH: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for ETH around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
58.97%
T+7 P(up)
43.59%
GOLD Reaction to US CPI (2024-01-15): Quant Probability Breakdown
Historical probability profile for GOLD around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
56.41%
T+7 P(up)
78.95%
US CPI (2024-01-15) and QQQ: Event-Driven Return Odds
Historical probability profile for QQQ around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
61.54%
T+7 P(up)
55.26%
SPY CPI Win Rate (2024-01-15): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability
Historical probability profile for SPY around CPI events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
64.1%
T+7 P(up)
68.42%
BTC Post-NFP Setup (2024-01-05): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for BTC around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
29.41%
T+7 P(up)
58.82%
ETH Post-NFP Setup (2024-01-05): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for ETH around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
50%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
GOLD NFP Reaction (2024-01-05): T+1/T+7 Up Probability
Historical probability profile for GOLD around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
66.67%
T+7 P(up)
79.41%
QQQ Post-NFP Setup (2024-01-05): Historical Probability Lens
Historical probability profile for QQQ around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
57.14%
T+7 P(up)
50%
2024-01-05 Nonfarm Payrolls: SPY Historical Win Rate
Historical probability profile for SPY around NFP events (T+1/T+7).
T+1 P(up)
47.62%
T+7 P(up)
55.88%
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