FOMC Cross-Asset Playbook

FOMC Outcome (2026-01-28) for BTC: Up/Down Probability View

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 43.48% up

Event: 2026-01-28 · As-of: 2026-03-12

Fed Decision (2025-12-10) and BTC: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 43.48% up

Event: 2025-12-10 · As-of: 2026-03-12

Fed Decision (2025-10-29) and BTC: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 43.48% up

Event: 2025-10-29 · As-of: 2026-03-12

Fed Decision (2025-09-17) and BTC: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 43.48% up

Event: 2025-09-17 · As-of: 2026-03-12

Fed Decision (2025-07-30) and BTC: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 43.48% up

Event: 2025-07-30 · As-of: 2026-03-12

BTC Post-FOMC Reaction (2025-06-18): Quant Backtest Snapshot

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 43.48% up

Event: 2025-06-18 · As-of: 2026-03-11

Fed Decision (2025-05-07) and BTC: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 43.48% up

Event: 2025-05-07 · As-of: 2026-03-11

2025-03-19 FOMC Meeting: BTC T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 43.48% up

Event: 2025-03-19 · As-of: 2026-03-11

BTC Post-FOMC Reaction (2025-01-29): Quant Backtest Snapshot

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 43.48% up

Event: 2025-01-29 · As-of: 2026-03-11

2024-12-17 FOMC Meeting: BTC T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 43.48% up

Event: 2024-12-17 · As-of: 2026-03-11

2024-11-06 FOMC Meeting: BTC T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 43.48% up

Event: 2024-11-06 · As-of: 2026-03-11

Fed Decision (2024-09-17) and BTC: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 43.48% up

Event: 2024-09-17 · As-of: 2026-03-11

Fed Decision (2024-07-30) and BTC: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 43.48% up

Event: 2024-07-30 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FOMC Outcome (2024-06-11) for BTC: Up/Down Probability View

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 43.48% up

Event: 2024-06-11 · As-of: 2026-03-11

BTC After FOMC (2024-04-30): Historical Signal & Probability

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 43.48% up

Event: 2024-04-30 · As-of: 2026-03-11

BTC Post-FOMC Reaction (2024-03-19): Quant Backtest Snapshot

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 43.48% up

Event: 2024-03-19 · As-of: 2026-03-11

BTC Post-FOMC Reaction (2024-01-30): Quant Backtest Snapshot

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 43.48% up

Event: 2024-01-30 · As-of: 2026-03-11

ETH

17 strategies

Open ETH Asset Hub

Fed Decision (2026-01-28) and ETH: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2026-01-28 · As-of: 2026-03-12

2025-12-10 FOMC Meeting: ETH T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2025-12-10 · As-of: 2026-03-12

ETH After FOMC (2025-10-29): Historical Signal & Probability

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2025-10-29 · As-of: 2026-03-12

2025-09-17 FOMC Meeting: ETH T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2025-09-17 · As-of: 2026-03-12

ETH Post-FOMC Reaction (2025-07-30): Quant Backtest Snapshot

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2025-07-30 · As-of: 2026-03-12

ETH Post-FOMC Reaction (2025-06-18): Quant Backtest Snapshot

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2025-06-18 · As-of: 2026-03-11

ETH After FOMC (2025-05-07): Historical Signal & Probability

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2025-05-07 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FOMC Outcome (2025-03-19) for ETH: Up/Down Probability View

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2025-03-19 · As-of: 2026-03-11

Fed Decision (2025-01-29) and ETH: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2025-01-29 · As-of: 2026-03-11

ETH Post-FOMC Reaction (2024-12-17): Quant Backtest Snapshot

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2024-12-17 · As-of: 2026-03-11

2024-11-06 FOMC Meeting: ETH T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2024-11-06 · As-of: 2026-03-11

2024-09-17 FOMC Meeting: ETH T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2024-09-17 · As-of: 2026-03-11

ETH After FOMC (2024-07-30): Historical Signal & Probability

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2024-07-30 · As-of: 2026-03-11

ETH After FOMC (2024-06-11): Historical Signal & Probability

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2024-06-11 · As-of: 2026-03-11

2024-04-30 FOMC Meeting: ETH T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2024-04-30 · As-of: 2026-03-11

ETH Post-FOMC Reaction (2024-03-19): Quant Backtest Snapshot

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2024-03-19 · As-of: 2026-03-11

ETH Post-FOMC Reaction (2024-01-30): Quant Backtest Snapshot

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2024-01-30 · As-of: 2026-03-11

GOLD

17 strategies

Open GOLD Asset Hub

GOLD After FOMC (2026-01-28): Historical Signal & Probability

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2026-01-28 · As-of: 2026-03-12

2025-12-10 FOMC Meeting: GOLD T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-12-10 · As-of: 2026-03-12

2025-10-29 FOMC Meeting: GOLD T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-10-29 · As-of: 2026-03-12

2025-09-17 FOMC Meeting: GOLD T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-09-17 · As-of: 2026-03-12

GOLD After FOMC (2025-07-30): Historical Signal & Probability

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-07-30 · As-of: 2026-03-12

Fed Decision (2025-06-18) and GOLD: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-06-18 · As-of: 2026-03-11

2025-05-07 FOMC Meeting: GOLD T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-05-07 · As-of: 2026-03-11

Fed Decision (2025-03-19) and GOLD: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-03-19 · As-of: 2026-03-11

GOLD Post-FOMC Reaction (2025-01-29): Quant Backtest Snapshot

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-01-29 · As-of: 2026-03-11

2024-12-17 FOMC Meeting: GOLD T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-12-17 · As-of: 2026-03-11

GOLD After FOMC (2024-11-06): Historical Signal & Probability

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-11-06 · As-of: 2026-03-11

Fed Decision (2024-09-17) and GOLD: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-09-17 · As-of: 2026-03-11

GOLD After FOMC (2024-07-30): Historical Signal & Probability

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-07-30 · As-of: 2026-03-11

2024-06-11 FOMC Meeting: GOLD T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-06-11 · As-of: 2026-03-11

GOLD After FOMC (2024-04-30): Historical Signal & Probability

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-04-30 · As-of: 2026-03-11

Fed Decision (2024-03-19) and GOLD: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-03-19 · As-of: 2026-03-11

2024-01-30 FOMC Meeting: GOLD T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-01-30 · As-of: 2026-03-11

QQQ

17 strategies

Open QQQ Asset Hub

Fed Decision (2026-01-28) and QQQ: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2026-01-28 · As-of: 2026-03-12

QQQ Post-FOMC Reaction (2025-12-10): Quant Backtest Snapshot

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-12-10 · As-of: 2026-03-12

2025-10-29 FOMC Meeting: QQQ T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-10-29 · As-of: 2026-03-12

QQQ After FOMC (2025-09-17): Historical Signal & Probability

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-09-17 · As-of: 2026-03-12

QQQ After FOMC (2025-07-30): Historical Signal & Probability

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-07-30 · As-of: 2026-03-12

FOMC Outcome (2025-06-18) for QQQ: Up/Down Probability View

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-06-18 · As-of: 2026-03-11

2025-05-07 FOMC Meeting: QQQ T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-05-07 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FOMC Outcome (2025-03-19) for QQQ: Up/Down Probability View

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-03-19 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FOMC Outcome (2025-01-29) for QQQ: Up/Down Probability View

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-01-29 · As-of: 2026-03-11

2024-12-17 FOMC Meeting: QQQ T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-12-17 · As-of: 2026-03-11

QQQ Post-FOMC Reaction (2024-11-06): Quant Backtest Snapshot

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-11-06 · As-of: 2026-03-11

2024-09-17 FOMC Meeting: QQQ T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-09-17 · As-of: 2026-03-11

QQQ After FOMC (2024-07-30): Historical Signal & Probability

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-07-30 · As-of: 2026-03-11

Fed Decision (2024-06-11) and QQQ: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-06-11 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FOMC Outcome (2024-04-30) for QQQ: Up/Down Probability View

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-04-30 · As-of: 2026-03-11

Fed Decision (2024-03-19) and QQQ: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-03-19 · As-of: 2026-03-11

Fed Decision (2024-01-30) and QQQ: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-01-30 · As-of: 2026-03-11

SPY

17 strategies

Open SPY Asset Hub

Fed Decision (2026-01-28) and SPY: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2026-01-28 · As-of: 2026-03-12

Fed Decision (2025-12-10) and SPY: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-12-10 · As-of: 2026-03-12

SPY After FOMC (2025-10-29): Historical Signal & Probability

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-10-29 · As-of: 2026-03-12

Fed Decision (2025-09-17) and SPY: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-09-17 · As-of: 2026-03-12

FOMC Outcome (2025-07-30) for SPY: Up/Down Probability View

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-07-30 · As-of: 2026-03-12

FOMC Outcome (2025-06-18) for SPY: Up/Down Probability View

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-06-18 · As-of: 2026-03-11

Fed Decision (2025-05-07) and SPY: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-05-07 · As-of: 2026-03-11

Fed Decision (2025-03-19) and SPY: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-03-19 · As-of: 2026-03-11

Fed Decision (2025-01-29) and SPY: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-01-29 · As-of: 2026-03-11

Fed Decision (2024-12-17) and SPY: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-12-17 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FOMC Outcome (2024-11-06) for SPY: Up/Down Probability View

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-11-06 · As-of: 2026-03-11

2024-09-17 FOMC Meeting: SPY T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-09-17 · As-of: 2026-03-11

SPY After FOMC (2024-07-30): Historical Signal & Probability

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-07-30 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FOMC Outcome (2024-06-11) for SPY: Up/Down Probability View

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-06-11 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FOMC Outcome (2024-04-30) for SPY: Up/Down Probability View

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-04-30 · As-of: 2026-03-11

SPY After FOMC (2024-03-19): Historical Signal & Probability

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-03-19 · As-of: 2026-03-11