SPY Event Research

US CPI (2026-03-11) and SPY: Event-Driven Return Odds

T+1 62.5% up · T+7 68.42% up

Event: 2026-03-11 · As-of: 2026-03-12

SPY After CPI (2026-02-13): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns

T+1 62.5% up · T+7 68.42% up

Event: 2026-02-13 · As-of: 2026-03-12

SPY Reaction to US CPI (2026-02-12): Quant Probability Breakdown

T+1 62.5% up · T+7 68.42% up

Event: 2026-02-12 · As-of: 2026-03-12

SPY CPI Win Rate (2026-01-13): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability

T+1 62.5% up · T+7 68.42% up

Event: 2026-01-13 · As-of: 2026-03-12

US CPI (2026-01-12) and SPY: Event-Driven Return Odds

T+1 62.5% up · T+7 68.42% up

Event: 2026-01-12 · As-of: 2026-03-12

US CPI (2025-12-12) and SPY: Event-Driven Return Odds

T+1 64.1% up · T+7 68.42% up

Event: 2025-12-12 · As-of: 2026-03-12

SPY CPI Win Rate (2025-11-12): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability

T+1 64.1% up · T+7 68.42% up

Event: 2025-11-12 · As-of: 2026-03-12

SPY Reaction to US CPI (2025-10-12): Quant Probability Breakdown

T+1 64.1% up · T+7 68.42% up

Event: 2025-10-12 · As-of: 2026-03-12

US CPI (2025-09-12) and SPY: Event-Driven Return Odds

T+1 64.1% up · T+7 68.42% up

Event: 2025-09-12 · As-of: 2026-03-12

SPY After CPI (2025-08-12): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns

T+1 64.1% up · T+7 68.42% up

Event: 2025-08-12 · As-of: 2026-03-12

SPY Reaction to US CPI (2025-07-12): Quant Probability Breakdown

T+1 64.1% up · T+7 68.42% up

Event: 2025-07-12 · As-of: 2026-03-12

US CPI (2025-06-12) and SPY: Event-Driven Return Odds

T+1 64.1% up · T+7 68.42% up

Event: 2025-06-12 · As-of: 2026-03-11

SPY After CPI (2025-05-12): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns

T+1 64.1% up · T+7 68.42% up

Event: 2025-05-12 · As-of: 2026-03-11

2025-04-12 CPI Release: SPY Directional Probability Snapshot

T+1 64.1% up · T+7 68.42% up

Event: 2025-04-12 · As-of: 2026-03-11

SPY CPI Win Rate (2025-03-12): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability

T+1 64.1% up · T+7 68.42% up

Event: 2025-03-12 · As-of: 2026-03-11

SPY Reaction to US CPI (2025-02-12): Quant Probability Breakdown

T+1 64.1% up · T+7 68.42% up

Event: 2025-02-12 · As-of: 2026-03-11

SPY CPI Win Rate (2025-01-15): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability

T+1 64.1% up · T+7 68.42% up

Event: 2025-01-15 · As-of: 2026-03-11

US CPI (2024-12-11) and SPY: Event-Driven Return Odds

T+1 64.1% up · T+7 68.42% up

Event: 2024-12-11 · As-of: 2026-03-11

2024-11-14 CPI Release: SPY Directional Probability Snapshot

T+1 64.1% up · T+7 68.42% up

Event: 2024-11-14 · As-of: 2026-03-11

US CPI (2024-10-10) and SPY: Event-Driven Return Odds

T+1 64.1% up · T+7 68.42% up

Event: 2024-10-10 · As-of: 2026-03-11

US CPI (2024-09-11) and SPY: Event-Driven Return Odds

T+1 64.1% up · T+7 68.42% up

Event: 2024-09-11 · As-of: 2026-03-11

US CPI (2024-08-14) and SPY: Event-Driven Return Odds

T+1 64.1% up · T+7 68.42% up

Event: 2024-08-14 · As-of: 2026-03-11

SPY Reaction to US CPI (2024-07-11): Quant Probability Breakdown

T+1 64.1% up · T+7 68.42% up

Event: 2024-07-11 · As-of: 2026-03-11

DOWN Bullish

US CPI (2024-06-12) and SPY: Event-Driven Return Odds

T+1 64.1% up · T+7 68.42% up

Event: 2024-06-12 · As-of: 2026-03-11

2024-05-15 CPI Release: SPY Directional Probability Snapshot

T+1 64.1% up · T+7 68.42% up

Event: 2024-05-15 · As-of: 2026-03-11

SPY After CPI (2024-04-10): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns

T+1 64.1% up · T+7 68.42% up

Event: 2024-04-10 · As-of: 2026-03-11

SPY CPI Win Rate (2024-03-12): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability

T+1 64.1% up · T+7 68.42% up

Event: 2024-03-12 · As-of: 2026-03-11

2024-02-20 CPI Release: SPY Directional Probability Snapshot

T+1 64.1% up · T+7 68.42% up

Event: 2024-02-20 · As-of: 2026-03-11

SPY CPI Win Rate (2024-01-15): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability

T+1 64.1% up · T+7 68.42% up

Event: 2024-01-15 · As-of: 2026-03-11

NFP

29 strategies Open NFP Event Hub

NFP Print (2026-03-06) vs SPY: Quantified Directional Odds

T+1 50% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2026-03-06 · As-of: 2026-03-12

2026-02-11 Nonfarm Payrolls: SPY Historical Win Rate

T+1 50% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2026-02-11 · As-of: 2026-03-12

SPY NFP Reaction (2026-02-06): T+1/T+7 Up Probability

T+1 50% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2026-02-06 · As-of: 2026-03-12

2026-01-09 Nonfarm Payrolls: SPY Historical Win Rate

T+1 50% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2026-01-09 · As-of: 2026-03-12

SPY Post-NFP Setup (2026-01-02): Historical Probability Lens

T+1 47.62% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2026-01-02 · As-of: 2026-03-12

SPY After NFP (2025-12-05): Event Probability and Median Return

T+1 47.62% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2025-12-05 · As-of: 2026-03-12

SPY NFP Reaction (2025-11-07): T+1/T+7 Up Probability

T+1 47.62% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2025-11-07 · As-of: 2026-03-12

NFP Print (2025-10-03) vs SPY: Quantified Directional Odds

T+1 47.62% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2025-10-03 · As-of: 2026-03-12

SPY Post-NFP Setup (2025-09-05): Historical Probability Lens

T+1 47.62% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2025-09-05 · As-of: 2026-03-12

NFP Print (2025-08-01) vs SPY: Quantified Directional Odds

T+1 47.62% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2025-08-01 · As-of: 2026-03-12

NFP Print (2025-07-04) vs SPY: Quantified Directional Odds

T+1 47.62% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2025-07-04 · As-of: 2026-03-12

NFP Print (2025-06-06) vs SPY: Quantified Directional Odds

T+1 47.62% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2025-06-06 · As-of: 2026-03-11

SPY NFP Reaction (2025-05-02): T+1/T+7 Up Probability

T+1 47.62% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2025-05-02 · As-of: 2026-03-11

SPY NFP Reaction (2025-04-04): T+1/T+7 Up Probability

T+1 47.62% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2025-04-04 · As-of: 2026-03-11

NFP Print (2025-03-07) vs SPY: Quantified Directional Odds

T+1 47.62% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2025-03-07 · As-of: 2026-03-11

SPY Post-NFP Setup (2025-02-07): Historical Probability Lens

T+1 47.62% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2025-02-07 · As-of: 2026-03-11

NFP Print (2025-01-10) vs SPY: Quantified Directional Odds

T+1 47.62% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2025-01-10 · As-of: 2026-03-11

2024-12-06 Nonfarm Payrolls: SPY Historical Win Rate

T+1 47.62% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2024-12-06 · As-of: 2026-03-11

SPY After NFP (2024-11-01): Event Probability and Median Return

T+1 47.62% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2024-11-01 · As-of: 2026-03-11

SPY NFP Reaction (2024-10-04): T+1/T+7 Up Probability

T+1 47.62% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2024-10-04 · As-of: 2026-03-11

NFP Print (2024-09-06) vs SPY: Quantified Directional Odds

T+1 47.62% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2024-09-06 · As-of: 2026-03-11

NFP Print (2024-08-02) vs SPY: Quantified Directional Odds

T+1 47.62% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2024-08-02 · As-of: 2026-03-11

2024-07-05 Nonfarm Payrolls: SPY Historical Win Rate

T+1 47.62% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2024-07-05 · As-of: 2026-03-11

NFP Print (2024-06-07) vs SPY: Quantified Directional Odds

T+1 47.62% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2024-06-07 · As-of: 2026-03-11

2024-05-03 Nonfarm Payrolls: SPY Historical Win Rate

T+1 47.62% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2024-05-03 · As-of: 2026-03-11

NFP Print (2024-04-05) vs SPY: Quantified Directional Odds

T+1 47.62% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2024-04-05 · As-of: 2026-03-11

2024-03-01 Nonfarm Payrolls: SPY Historical Win Rate

T+1 47.62% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2024-03-01 · As-of: 2026-03-11

SPY NFP Reaction (2024-02-02): T+1/T+7 Up Probability

T+1 47.62% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2024-02-02 · As-of: 2026-03-11

2024-01-05 Nonfarm Payrolls: SPY Historical Win Rate

T+1 47.62% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2024-01-05 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FOMC

17 strategies Open FOMC Event Hub

Fed Decision (2026-01-28) and SPY: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2026-01-28 · As-of: 2026-03-12

Fed Decision (2025-12-10) and SPY: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-12-10 · As-of: 2026-03-12

SPY After FOMC (2025-10-29): Historical Signal & Probability

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-10-29 · As-of: 2026-03-12

Fed Decision (2025-09-17) and SPY: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-09-17 · As-of: 2026-03-12

FOMC Outcome (2025-07-30) for SPY: Up/Down Probability View

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-07-30 · As-of: 2026-03-12

FOMC Outcome (2025-06-18) for SPY: Up/Down Probability View

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-06-18 · As-of: 2026-03-11

Fed Decision (2025-05-07) and SPY: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-05-07 · As-of: 2026-03-11

Fed Decision (2025-03-19) and SPY: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-03-19 · As-of: 2026-03-11

Fed Decision (2025-01-29) and SPY: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-01-29 · As-of: 2026-03-11

Fed Decision (2024-12-17) and SPY: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-12-17 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FOMC Outcome (2024-11-06) for SPY: Up/Down Probability View

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-11-06 · As-of: 2026-03-11

2024-09-17 FOMC Meeting: SPY T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-09-17 · As-of: 2026-03-11

SPY After FOMC (2024-07-30): Historical Signal & Probability

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-07-30 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FOMC Outcome (2024-06-11) for SPY: Up/Down Probability View

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-06-11 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FOMC Outcome (2024-04-30) for SPY: Up/Down Probability View

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-04-30 · As-of: 2026-03-11

SPY After FOMC (2024-03-19): Historical Signal & Probability

T+1 52.17% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-03-19 · As-of: 2026-03-11