Asset Hub

GOLD Event Research

75 pages with historical event probabilities.

CPI

29 strategies Open CPI Event Hub
UP Bullish

GOLD CPI Win Rate (2026-03-11): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability

T+1 55% up · T+7 78.95% up

Event: 2026-03-11 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Bullish

US CPI (2026-02-13) and GOLD: Event-Driven Return Odds

T+1 55% up · T+7 78.95% up

Event: 2026-02-13 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Bullish

US CPI (2026-02-12) and GOLD: Event-Driven Return Odds

T+1 55% up · T+7 78.95% up

Event: 2026-02-12 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Bullish

GOLD CPI Win Rate (2026-01-13): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability

T+1 55% up · T+7 78.95% up

Event: 2026-01-13 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Bullish

GOLD After CPI (2026-01-12): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns

T+1 55% up · T+7 78.95% up

Event: 2026-01-12 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Bullish

2025-12-12 CPI Release: GOLD Directional Probability Snapshot

T+1 56.41% up · T+7 78.95% up

Event: 2025-12-12 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Bullish

GOLD Reaction to US CPI (2025-11-12): Quant Probability Breakdown

T+1 56.41% up · T+7 78.95% up

Event: 2025-11-12 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Bullish

GOLD After CPI (2025-10-12): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns

T+1 56.41% up · T+7 78.95% up

Event: 2025-10-12 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Bullish

GOLD Reaction to US CPI (2025-09-12): Quant Probability Breakdown

T+1 56.41% up · T+7 78.95% up

Event: 2025-09-12 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Bullish

GOLD After CPI (2025-08-12): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns

T+1 56.41% up · T+7 78.95% up

Event: 2025-08-12 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Bullish

2025-07-12 CPI Release: GOLD Directional Probability Snapshot

T+1 56.41% up · T+7 78.95% up

Event: 2025-07-12 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Bullish

GOLD CPI Win Rate (2025-06-12): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability

T+1 56.41% up · T+7 78.95% up

Event: 2025-06-12 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

GOLD Reaction to US CPI (2025-05-12): Quant Probability Breakdown

T+1 56.41% up · T+7 78.95% up

Event: 2025-05-12 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

2025-04-12 CPI Release: GOLD Directional Probability Snapshot

T+1 56.41% up · T+7 78.95% up

Event: 2025-04-12 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

GOLD Reaction to US CPI (2025-03-12): Quant Probability Breakdown

T+1 56.41% up · T+7 78.95% up

Event: 2025-03-12 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

US CPI (2025-02-12) and GOLD: Event-Driven Return Odds

T+1 56.41% up · T+7 78.95% up

Event: 2025-02-12 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

GOLD Reaction to US CPI (2025-01-15): Quant Probability Breakdown

T+1 56.41% up · T+7 78.95% up

Event: 2025-01-15 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

2024-12-11 CPI Release: GOLD Directional Probability Snapshot

T+1 56.41% up · T+7 78.95% up

Event: 2024-12-11 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

GOLD Reaction to US CPI (2024-11-14): Quant Probability Breakdown

T+1 56.41% up · T+7 78.95% up

Event: 2024-11-14 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

GOLD Reaction to US CPI (2024-10-10): Quant Probability Breakdown

T+1 56.41% up · T+7 78.95% up

Event: 2024-10-10 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

GOLD CPI Win Rate (2024-09-11): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability

T+1 56.41% up · T+7 78.95% up

Event: 2024-09-11 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

US CPI (2024-08-14) and GOLD: Event-Driven Return Odds

T+1 56.41% up · T+7 78.95% up

Event: 2024-08-14 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

GOLD Reaction to US CPI (2024-07-11): Quant Probability Breakdown

T+1 56.41% up · T+7 78.95% up

Event: 2024-07-11 · As-of: 2026-03-11

DOWN Bullish

US CPI (2024-06-12) and GOLD: Event-Driven Return Odds

T+1 56.41% up · T+7 78.95% up

Event: 2024-06-12 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

US CPI (2024-05-15) and GOLD: Event-Driven Return Odds

T+1 56.41% up · T+7 78.95% up

Event: 2024-05-15 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

GOLD After CPI (2024-04-10): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns

T+1 56.41% up · T+7 78.95% up

Event: 2024-04-10 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

2024-03-12 CPI Release: GOLD Directional Probability Snapshot

T+1 56.41% up · T+7 78.95% up

Event: 2024-03-12 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

US CPI (2024-02-20) and GOLD: Event-Driven Return Odds

T+1 56.41% up · T+7 78.95% up

Event: 2024-02-20 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

GOLD Reaction to US CPI (2024-01-15): Quant Probability Breakdown

T+1 56.41% up · T+7 78.95% up

Event: 2024-01-15 · As-of: 2026-03-11

NFP

29 strategies Open NFP Event Hub
DOWN Bullish

2026-03-06 Nonfarm Payrolls: GOLD Historical Win Rate

T+1 63.64% up · T+7 77.14% up

Event: 2026-03-06 · As-of: 2026-03-12

DOWN Bullish

GOLD NFP Reaction (2026-02-11): T+1/T+7 Up Probability

T+1 63.64% up · T+7 77.14% up

Event: 2026-02-11 · As-of: 2026-03-12

DOWN Bullish

GOLD NFP Reaction (2026-02-06): T+1/T+7 Up Probability

T+1 63.64% up · T+7 77.14% up

Event: 2026-02-06 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Bullish

GOLD Post-NFP Setup (2026-01-09): Historical Probability Lens

T+1 63.64% up · T+7 77.14% up

Event: 2026-01-09 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Bullish

GOLD NFP Reaction (2026-01-02): T+1/T+7 Up Probability

T+1 66.67% up · T+7 79.41% up

Event: 2026-01-02 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Bullish

GOLD Post-NFP Setup (2025-12-05): Historical Probability Lens

T+1 66.67% up · T+7 79.41% up

Event: 2025-12-05 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Bullish

GOLD Post-NFP Setup (2025-11-07): Historical Probability Lens

T+1 66.67% up · T+7 79.41% up

Event: 2025-11-07 · As-of: 2026-03-12

DOWN Bullish

GOLD Post-NFP Setup (2025-10-03): Historical Probability Lens

T+1 66.67% up · T+7 79.41% up

Event: 2025-10-03 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Bullish

GOLD NFP Reaction (2025-09-05): T+1/T+7 Up Probability

T+1 66.67% up · T+7 79.41% up

Event: 2025-09-05 · As-of: 2026-03-12

DOWN Bullish

2025-08-01 Nonfarm Payrolls: GOLD Historical Win Rate

T+1 66.67% up · T+7 79.41% up

Event: 2025-08-01 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Bullish

GOLD Post-NFP Setup (2025-07-04): Historical Probability Lens

T+1 66.67% up · T+7 79.41% up

Event: 2025-07-04 · As-of: 2026-03-12

DOWN Bullish

GOLD After NFP (2025-06-06): Event Probability and Median Return

T+1 66.67% up · T+7 79.41% up

Event: 2025-06-06 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

GOLD After NFP (2025-05-02): Event Probability and Median Return

T+1 66.67% up · T+7 79.41% up

Event: 2025-05-02 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

GOLD Post-NFP Setup (2025-04-04): Historical Probability Lens

T+1 66.67% up · T+7 79.41% up

Event: 2025-04-04 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

NFP Print (2025-03-07) vs GOLD: Quantified Directional Odds

T+1 66.67% up · T+7 79.41% up

Event: 2025-03-07 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

2025-02-07 Nonfarm Payrolls: GOLD Historical Win Rate

T+1 66.67% up · T+7 79.41% up

Event: 2025-02-07 · As-of: 2026-03-11

DOWN Bullish

GOLD Post-NFP Setup (2025-01-10): Historical Probability Lens

T+1 66.67% up · T+7 79.41% up

Event: 2025-01-10 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

2024-12-06 Nonfarm Payrolls: GOLD Historical Win Rate

T+1 66.67% up · T+7 79.41% up

Event: 2024-12-06 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

GOLD After NFP (2024-11-01): Event Probability and Median Return

T+1 66.67% up · T+7 79.41% up

Event: 2024-11-01 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

GOLD Post-NFP Setup (2024-10-04): Historical Probability Lens

T+1 66.67% up · T+7 79.41% up

Event: 2024-10-04 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

GOLD Post-NFP Setup (2024-09-06): Historical Probability Lens

T+1 66.67% up · T+7 79.41% up

Event: 2024-09-06 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

GOLD After NFP (2024-08-02): Event Probability and Median Return

T+1 66.67% up · T+7 79.41% up

Event: 2024-08-02 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

GOLD Post-NFP Setup (2024-07-05): Historical Probability Lens

T+1 66.67% up · T+7 79.41% up

Event: 2024-07-05 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

GOLD NFP Reaction (2024-06-07): T+1/T+7 Up Probability

T+1 66.67% up · T+7 79.41% up

Event: 2024-06-07 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

GOLD After NFP (2024-05-03): Event Probability and Median Return

T+1 66.67% up · T+7 79.41% up

Event: 2024-05-03 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

NFP Print (2024-04-05) vs GOLD: Quantified Directional Odds

T+1 66.67% up · T+7 79.41% up

Event: 2024-04-05 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

GOLD NFP Reaction (2024-03-01): T+1/T+7 Up Probability

T+1 66.67% up · T+7 79.41% up

Event: 2024-03-01 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

GOLD After NFP (2024-02-02): Event Probability and Median Return

T+1 66.67% up · T+7 79.41% up

Event: 2024-02-02 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Bullish

GOLD NFP Reaction (2024-01-05): T+1/T+7 Up Probability

T+1 66.67% up · T+7 79.41% up

Event: 2024-01-05 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FOMC

17 strategies Open FOMC Event Hub
FLAT Bullish

GOLD After FOMC (2026-01-28): Historical Signal & Probability

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2026-01-28 · As-of: 2026-03-12

FLAT Bullish

2025-12-10 FOMC Meeting: GOLD T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-12-10 · As-of: 2026-03-12

FLAT Bullish

2025-10-29 FOMC Meeting: GOLD T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-10-29 · As-of: 2026-03-12

FLAT Bullish

2025-09-17 FOMC Meeting: GOLD T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-09-17 · As-of: 2026-03-12

FLAT Bullish

GOLD After FOMC (2025-07-30): Historical Signal & Probability

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-07-30 · As-of: 2026-03-12

FLAT Bullish

Fed Decision (2025-06-18) and GOLD: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-06-18 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FLAT Bullish

2025-05-07 FOMC Meeting: GOLD T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-05-07 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FLAT Bullish

Fed Decision (2025-03-19) and GOLD: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-03-19 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FLAT Bullish

GOLD Post-FOMC Reaction (2025-01-29): Quant Backtest Snapshot

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2025-01-29 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FLAT Bullish

2024-12-17 FOMC Meeting: GOLD T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-12-17 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FLAT Bullish

GOLD After FOMC (2024-11-06): Historical Signal & Probability

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-11-06 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FLAT Bullish

Fed Decision (2024-09-17) and GOLD: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-09-17 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FLAT Bullish

GOLD After FOMC (2024-07-30): Historical Signal & Probability

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-07-30 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FLAT Bullish

2024-06-11 FOMC Meeting: GOLD T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-06-11 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FLAT Bullish

GOLD After FOMC (2024-04-30): Historical Signal & Probability

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-04-30 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FLAT Bullish

Fed Decision (2024-03-19) and GOLD: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-03-19 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FLAT Bullish

2024-01-30 FOMC Meeting: GOLD T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 69.57% up · T+7 56.52% up

Event: 2024-01-30 · As-of: 2026-03-11