Asset Hub

ETH Event Research

75 pages with historical event probabilities.

Archive BTC ETH GOLD QQQ SPY
All Events CPI Hub NFP Hub FOMC Hub

CPI

29 strategies Open CPI Event Hub
UP Neutral

ETH CPI Win Rate (2026-03-11): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability

T+1 60% up · T+7 43.59% up

Event: 2026-03-11 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Neutral

ETH CPI Win Rate (2026-02-13): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability

T+1 60% up · T+7 43.59% up

Event: 2026-02-13 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Neutral

ETH CPI Win Rate (2026-02-12): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability

T+1 60% up · T+7 43.59% up

Event: 2026-02-12 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Neutral

2026-01-13 CPI Release: ETH Directional Probability Snapshot

T+1 60% up · T+7 43.59% up

Event: 2026-01-13 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Neutral

2026-01-12 CPI Release: ETH Directional Probability Snapshot

T+1 60% up · T+7 43.59% up

Event: 2026-01-12 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Neutral

ETH Reaction to US CPI (2025-12-12): Quant Probability Breakdown

T+1 58.97% up · T+7 43.59% up

Event: 2025-12-12 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Neutral

ETH CPI Win Rate (2025-11-12): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability

T+1 58.97% up · T+7 43.59% up

Event: 2025-11-12 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Neutral

ETH Reaction to US CPI (2025-10-12): Quant Probability Breakdown

T+1 58.97% up · T+7 43.59% up

Event: 2025-10-12 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Neutral

2025-09-12 CPI Release: ETH Directional Probability Snapshot

T+1 58.97% up · T+7 43.59% up

Event: 2025-09-12 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Neutral

ETH Reaction to US CPI (2025-08-12): Quant Probability Breakdown

T+1 58.97% up · T+7 43.59% up

Event: 2025-08-12 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Neutral

US CPI (2025-07-12) and ETH: Event-Driven Return Odds

T+1 58.97% up · T+7 43.59% up

Event: 2025-07-12 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Neutral

ETH Reaction to US CPI (2025-06-12): Quant Probability Breakdown

T+1 58.97% up · T+7 43.59% up

Event: 2025-06-12 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

US CPI (2025-05-12) and ETH: Event-Driven Return Odds

T+1 58.97% up · T+7 43.59% up

Event: 2025-05-12 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

ETH After CPI (2025-04-12): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns

T+1 58.97% up · T+7 43.59% up

Event: 2025-04-12 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

US CPI (2025-03-12) and ETH: Event-Driven Return Odds

T+1 58.97% up · T+7 43.59% up

Event: 2025-03-12 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

US CPI (2025-02-12) and ETH: Event-Driven Return Odds

T+1 58.97% up · T+7 43.59% up

Event: 2025-02-12 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

ETH Reaction to US CPI (2025-01-15): Quant Probability Breakdown

T+1 58.97% up · T+7 43.59% up

Event: 2025-01-15 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

US CPI (2024-12-11) and ETH: Event-Driven Return Odds

T+1 58.97% up · T+7 43.59% up

Event: 2024-12-11 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

ETH CPI Win Rate (2024-11-14): Historical T+1/T+7 Probability

T+1 58.97% up · T+7 43.59% up

Event: 2024-11-14 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

US CPI (2024-10-10) and ETH: Event-Driven Return Odds

T+1 58.97% up · T+7 43.59% up

Event: 2024-10-10 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

ETH Reaction to US CPI (2024-09-11): Quant Probability Breakdown

T+1 58.97% up · T+7 43.59% up

Event: 2024-09-11 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

2024-08-14 CPI Release: ETH Directional Probability Snapshot

T+1 58.97% up · T+7 43.59% up

Event: 2024-08-14 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

ETH Reaction to US CPI (2024-07-11): Quant Probability Breakdown

T+1 58.97% up · T+7 43.59% up

Event: 2024-07-11 · As-of: 2026-03-11

DOWN Neutral

ETH Reaction to US CPI (2024-06-12): Quant Probability Breakdown

T+1 58.97% up · T+7 43.59% up

Event: 2024-06-12 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

2024-05-15 CPI Release: ETH Directional Probability Snapshot

T+1 58.97% up · T+7 43.59% up

Event: 2024-05-15 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

US CPI (2024-04-10) and ETH: Event-Driven Return Odds

T+1 58.97% up · T+7 43.59% up

Event: 2024-04-10 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

ETH After CPI (2024-03-12): Up/Down Odds and Median Returns

T+1 58.97% up · T+7 43.59% up

Event: 2024-03-12 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

ETH Reaction to US CPI (2024-02-20): Quant Probability Breakdown

T+1 58.97% up · T+7 43.59% up

Event: 2024-02-20 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

US CPI (2024-01-15) and ETH: Event-Driven Return Odds

T+1 58.97% up · T+7 43.59% up

Event: 2024-01-15 · As-of: 2026-03-11

NFP

29 strategies Open NFP Event Hub
DOWN Neutral

ETH Post-NFP Setup (2026-03-06): Historical Probability Lens

T+1 48.57% up · T+7 57.14% up

Event: 2026-03-06 · As-of: 2026-03-12

DOWN Neutral

ETH After NFP (2026-02-11): Event Probability and Median Return

T+1 48.57% up · T+7 57.14% up

Event: 2026-02-11 · As-of: 2026-03-12

DOWN Neutral

ETH NFP Reaction (2026-02-06): T+1/T+7 Up Probability

T+1 48.57% up · T+7 57.14% up

Event: 2026-02-06 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Neutral

ETH After NFP (2026-01-09): Event Probability and Median Return

T+1 48.57% up · T+7 57.14% up

Event: 2026-01-09 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Neutral

2026-01-02 Nonfarm Payrolls: ETH Historical Win Rate

T+1 50% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2026-01-02 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Neutral

ETH Post-NFP Setup (2025-12-05): Historical Probability Lens

T+1 50% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2025-12-05 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Neutral

NFP Print (2025-11-07) vs ETH: Quantified Directional Odds

T+1 50% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2025-11-07 · As-of: 2026-03-12

DOWN Neutral

ETH NFP Reaction (2025-10-03): T+1/T+7 Up Probability

T+1 50% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2025-10-03 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Neutral

ETH After NFP (2025-09-05): Event Probability and Median Return

T+1 50% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2025-09-05 · As-of: 2026-03-12

DOWN Neutral

ETH Post-NFP Setup (2025-08-01): Historical Probability Lens

T+1 50% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2025-08-01 · As-of: 2026-03-12

UP Neutral

ETH NFP Reaction (2025-07-04): T+1/T+7 Up Probability

T+1 50% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2025-07-04 · As-of: 2026-03-12

DOWN Neutral

NFP Print (2025-06-06) vs ETH: Quantified Directional Odds

T+1 50% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2025-06-06 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

ETH NFP Reaction (2025-05-02): T+1/T+7 Up Probability

T+1 50% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2025-05-02 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

ETH NFP Reaction (2025-04-04): T+1/T+7 Up Probability

T+1 50% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2025-04-04 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

2025-03-07 Nonfarm Payrolls: ETH Historical Win Rate

T+1 50% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2025-03-07 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

ETH Post-NFP Setup (2025-02-07): Historical Probability Lens

T+1 50% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2025-02-07 · As-of: 2026-03-11

DOWN Neutral

ETH Post-NFP Setup (2025-01-10): Historical Probability Lens

T+1 50% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2025-01-10 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

ETH After NFP (2024-12-06): Event Probability and Median Return

T+1 50% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2024-12-06 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

2024-11-01 Nonfarm Payrolls: ETH Historical Win Rate

T+1 50% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2024-11-01 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

ETH Post-NFP Setup (2024-10-04): Historical Probability Lens

T+1 50% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2024-10-04 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

ETH Post-NFP Setup (2024-09-06): Historical Probability Lens

T+1 50% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2024-09-06 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

ETH NFP Reaction (2024-08-02): T+1/T+7 Up Probability

T+1 50% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2024-08-02 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

ETH Post-NFP Setup (2024-07-05): Historical Probability Lens

T+1 50% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2024-07-05 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

ETH After NFP (2024-06-07): Event Probability and Median Return

T+1 50% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2024-06-07 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

ETH NFP Reaction (2024-05-03): T+1/T+7 Up Probability

T+1 50% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2024-05-03 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

ETH Post-NFP Setup (2024-04-05): Historical Probability Lens

T+1 50% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2024-04-05 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

NFP Print (2024-03-01) vs ETH: Quantified Directional Odds

T+1 50% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2024-03-01 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

2024-02-02 Nonfarm Payrolls: ETH Historical Win Rate

T+1 50% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2024-02-02 · As-of: 2026-03-11

UP Neutral

ETH Post-NFP Setup (2024-01-05): Historical Probability Lens

T+1 50% up · T+7 55.88% up

Event: 2024-01-05 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FOMC

17 strategies Open FOMC Event Hub
FLAT Bearish

Fed Decision (2026-01-28) and ETH: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2026-01-28 · As-of: 2026-03-12

FLAT Bearish

2025-12-10 FOMC Meeting: ETH T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2025-12-10 · As-of: 2026-03-12

FLAT Bearish

ETH After FOMC (2025-10-29): Historical Signal & Probability

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2025-10-29 · As-of: 2026-03-12

FLAT Bearish

2025-09-17 FOMC Meeting: ETH T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2025-09-17 · As-of: 2026-03-12

FLAT Bearish

ETH Post-FOMC Reaction (2025-07-30): Quant Backtest Snapshot

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2025-07-30 · As-of: 2026-03-12

FLAT Bearish

ETH Post-FOMC Reaction (2025-06-18): Quant Backtest Snapshot

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2025-06-18 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FLAT Bearish

ETH After FOMC (2025-05-07): Historical Signal & Probability

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2025-05-07 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FLAT Bearish

FOMC Outcome (2025-03-19) for ETH: Up/Down Probability View

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2025-03-19 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FLAT Bearish

Fed Decision (2025-01-29) and ETH: Event-Driven Odds

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2025-01-29 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FLAT Bearish

ETH Post-FOMC Reaction (2024-12-17): Quant Backtest Snapshot

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2024-12-17 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FLAT Bearish

2024-11-06 FOMC Meeting: ETH T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2024-11-06 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FLAT Bearish

2024-09-17 FOMC Meeting: ETH T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2024-09-17 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FLAT Bearish

ETH After FOMC (2024-07-30): Historical Signal & Probability

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2024-07-30 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FLAT Bearish

ETH After FOMC (2024-06-11): Historical Signal & Probability

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2024-06-11 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FLAT Bearish

2024-04-30 FOMC Meeting: ETH T+1/T+7 Probability Profile

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2024-04-30 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FLAT Bearish

ETH Post-FOMC Reaction (2024-03-19): Quant Backtest Snapshot

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2024-03-19 · As-of: 2026-03-11

FLAT Bearish

ETH Post-FOMC Reaction (2024-01-30): Quant Backtest Snapshot

T+1 43.48% up · T+7 30.43% up

Event: 2024-01-30 · As-of: 2026-03-11